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There have never been fewer US homes for sale

THURSDAY MARKET UPDATE
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There have never been fewer US homes for sale

THURSDAY MARKET UPDATE

*This is sponsored advertising content and the disclaimer at the bottom of this email MUST be read carefully.

The Bank of England delivers surprise half-point rate hike to 5%, the highest in 15 years.

They say the risks to inflation are “skewed significantly to the upside”.

🏦 Jerome Powell will make his way back to Capitol Hill this morning for a second round of grilling in front of the House Financial Services Committee.

  • Yesterday he defended the Fed’s decision to skip a rate hike last week as “prudent”.

  • He also signaled that the pause was likely to be temporary.

  • He compared the move to a driver slowing down after pulling off the highway to avoid missing their destination.

  • “The process of getting inflation back down to 2% has a long way to go.”

🗣️ President Joe Biden called Xi Jinping a “dictator” at an event yesterday.

  • Biden implied Xi was unaware that the US shot down an alleged Chinese spy balloon in February because he didn’t know it was there.

  • Xi wasn’t happy about that, calling the comments a “provocation”.

  • This comes just one day after US Secretary of State Blinken’s trip to China to ease tensions with the country.

🏘️ According to Redfin, there were fewer homes for sale in May than any other month…ever.

  • The number of homes for sale in the US experienced its first decline since April 2022, falling 7.1% YoY in May.

  • Compared to pre-pandemic levels (May 2019), there are 38.6% fewer homes for sale.

  • Home prices are also declining by less: the median sale price was down 3.1% YoY in May compared to April’s 4.2% drop.

⚖️ The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) sued Amazon yesterday for “deceptive” practices and violating consumer protection laws.

  • The regulator claims the company misled consumers into signing up for its Prime subscription program using “manipulative” tactics.

  • It says it used “dark patterns” to steer users into enrolling without their consent and made it difficult for them to cancel.

  • This is the third case brought on by the FTC against Amazon in the last month.

🤖 After a quiet year of “soul searching”, SoftBank’s Masayoshi Son is back and on the offensive.

  • And it’s all thanks to ChatGPT: Son says the tool—which he has been using every day extensively—has revived his spirits and revitalized his passion for technology.

  • As such, SoftBank is positioning itself to be at the forefront of the AI revolution.

  • After nearly 3 years of asset sales and cash hoarding, the firm has more than $35 billion in cash to help get it there.

📉 Goldman strategist David Kostin offered 5 reasons why investors should hedge the S&P 500 today:

  • Put-call skew shows investors are positioned upside.

  • Narrow market rallies are typically followed by sharper drawdowns than normal (chart).

  • Elevated equity valuations.

  • The optimistic economic growth outlook is already priced in.

  • Positioning is no longer a tailwind.

🛢️ US energy companies have cut domestic O&G drilling activity to the lowest since April 2022.

  • Those cuts are expected to continue amid weak oil prices.

  • Meanwhile, stockpiles of crude oil at the Cushing, OK storage hub have risen for 8 straight weeks.

  • They are now at their highest level in 2 years.

*This is sponsored advertising content and the disclaimer at the bottom of this email MUST be read carefully.

📊 Yesterday’s highlights:

 KB Home: $1.94 EPS (vs. $1.33 expected) ✅, $1.77 billion in sales (vs. $1.43B expected) ✅.

  • The company improved demand in the quarter with net orders increasing 84% and cancellations improving on a sequential basis.

  • Guided full-year revenue of $5.8 to $6.2 billion, above analysts’ estimates of $5.67 billion.

👀 What we’re watching today:

  • Accenture

  • Darden Restaurants

  • FactSet Research

  • Commercial Metals Company

  • GMS Inc

  • Methode Electronics

Full earnings here.

  • Mortgage demand: Despite a 3rd straight drop in interest rates, weekly mortgage demand remained flat.

  • BTFD: Retail investors bought a record $1.5 billion worth of single stocks in the week ending Tuesday.

  • Uber cuts: Uber is laying off 200 recruiters which represent 35% of its recruiting team but just 1% of total staff.

  • WFH: The number of work-from-home job openings is beginning to roll over.

  • Pharma suit: A pharmaceutical trade group is suing the US government over Medicare drug price negotiation plans.

  • Project S: TikTok is launching “Project S”, an online shopping initiative called Trendy Beat to compete with Shein and Amazon.

  • Wall Street pay: Lawyers on Wall Street are now outearning investment bankers.

  • Mopping up: A new Fed paper suggests the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank will mop up as much as 90% of the money they pumped into banks over the last decade.

  • BTC options: Bitcoin options volume jumped to a 3-month high yesterday with $3.3 billion worth of contracts changing hands.

  • Stablecoins: Jerome Powell said yesterday that stablecoins are a form of money and require robust federal regulation.

  • Unusual defense: Coinbase employed an unusual legal strategy by filing amicus briefs in other crypto-related lawsuits to shape court rulings in its own case against the SEC.

  • Mining ban: Venezuela’s temporary ban on crypto mining is having long-lasting effects on the country’s crypto industry.

  • Bitcoin ETF: Valkyrie Funds is hopping on the spot Bitcoin ETF bandwagon with a new filing of its own.

Check out GritCRYPTO for more.

  • Semis fab: Intel will sell a 20% stake in IMS Nanofabrication to Bain Capital at a $4.3 billion valuation.

  • Retail IPO: Secondhand retailer Savers Value Village is seeking a $2.7 billion valuation for its US IPO.

  • Canadian sports: Larry Tanenbaum is selling a portion of his stake in Maple Leaf Sports & Entertainment at a $8 billion valuation.

  • SVB VC: SVB Financial Group is exploring options for its venture capital arm, SVB Capital.

  • Private > public: There are more companies going private than there are companies going public this year.

Disclaimer: The publisher does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in this page.  All statements and expressions herein are the sole opinion of the author or paid advertiser.
Grit Capital Corporation is a publisher of financial information, not an investment advisor.  We do not provide personalized or individualized investment advice or information that is tailored to the needs of any particular recipient.  
THE INFORMATION CONTAINED ON THIS WEBSITE IS NOT AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSTRUED AS INVESTMENT ADVICE, AND DOES NOT PURPORT TO BE AND DOES NOT EXPRESS ANY OPINION AS TO THE PRICE AT WHICH THE SECURITIES OF ANY COMPANY MAY TRADE AT ANY TIME.  THE INFORMATION AND OPINIONS PROVIDED HEREIN SHOULD NOT BE TAKEN AS SPECIFIC ADVICE ON THE MERITS OF ANY INVESTMENT DECISION.  INVESTORS SHOULD MAKE THEIR OWN INVESTIGATION AND DECISIONS REGARDING THE PROSPECTS OF ANY COMPANY DISCUSSED HEREIN BASED ON SUCH INVESTORS’ OWN REVIEW OF PUBLICLY AVAILABLE INFORMATION AND SHOULD NOT RELY ON THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN.
No statement or expression of opinion, or any other matter herein, directly or indirectly, is an offer or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell the securities or financial instruments mentioned.  
Any projections, market outlooks or estimates herein are forward looking statements and are inherently unreliable.  They are based upon certain assumptions and should not be construed to be indicative of the actual events that will occur.  Other events that were not taken into account may occur and may significantly affect the returns or performance of the securities discussed herein.  The information provided herein is based on matters as they exist as of the date of preparation and not as of any future date, and the publisher undertakes no obligation to correct, update or revise the information in this document or to otherwise provide any additional material.
The publisher, its affiliates, and clients of the a publisher or its affiliates may currently have long or short positions in the securities of the companies mentioned herein, or may have such a position in the future (and therefore may profit from fluctuations in the trading price of the securities).  To the extent such persons do have such positions, there is no guarantee that such persons will maintain such positions.
Neither the publisher nor any of its affiliates accepts any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of the information contained herein.
By using the Site or any affiliated social media account, you are indicating your consent and agreement to this disclaimer and our terms of use. Unauthorized reproduction of this newsletter or its contents by photocopy, facsimile or any other means is illegal and punishable by law.
For Full Terms of Use Click HERE. For the Privacy Policy Click HERE.
Gritcapital.substack.com (“Grit”) is a website owned and operated by Substack. Grit is paid fees by the companies that make investment offerings on this website. Be aware that payment of these fees may put Grit in a conflict of interest with the investor. By accessing this website or any page thereof, you agree to be bound by the Terms of Use and Privacy Policy, in effect at the time you access this website or any page thereof. The Terms of Use and Privacy Policy may be amended from time to time. Nothing on this website shall constitute an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or subscribe for, any securities to any person in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation is against the law or to anyone to whom it is unlawful to make such offer or solicitation. Grit is not an underwriter, broker-dealer, Title III crowdfunding portal or a valuation service and does not engage in any activities requiring any such registration. Grit does not provide advice on investments or structure transactions. Offerings made under Regulation A under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Securities Act") are available to U.S. investors who are “accredited investors” as defined by Rule 501 of Regulation D under the Securities Act well as non-accredited investors, who are subject to certain investment limitations as set forth in Regulation A under the Securities Act. In order to invest in Regulation A offerings, investors may be asked to fill out a certification and provide necessary documentation as proof of your income and/or net worth to verify that you are qualified to invest in offerings posted on this website. All securities listed on this site are being offered by, and all information included on this site is the responsibility of, the applicable issuer of such securities. Grit does not verify the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information. Neither Grit nor any of its officers, directors, agents and employees makes any warranty, express or implied, of any kind whatsoever related to the adequacy, accuracy, valuations of securities or completeness of any information on this site or the use of information on this site. Neither Grit nor any of its directors, officers, employees, representatives, affiliates or agents shall have any liability whatsoever arising from any error or incompleteness of fact, or lack of care in the preparation of, any of the materials posted on this website. Investing in securities, especially those issued by start-up companies, involves substantial risk. investors should be able to bear the loss of their entire investment and should make their own determination of whether or not to make any investment based on their own independent evaluation and analysis.

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Disclaimer:The publisher does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in this page.  All statements and expressions herein are the sole opinion of the author or paid advertiser.

Grit Capital Corporation is a publisher of financial information, not an investment advisor.  We do not provide personalized or individualized investment advice or information that is tailored to the needs of any particular recipient.  

THE INFORMATION CONTAINED ON THIS WEBSITE IS NOT AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSTRUED AS INVESTMENT ADVICE, AND DOES NOT PURPORT TO BE AND DOES NOT EXPRESS ANY OPINION AS TO THE PRICE AT WHICH THE SECURITIES OF ANY COMPANY MAY TRADE AT ANY TIME.  THE INFORMATION AND OPINIONS PROVIDED HEREIN SHOULD NOT BE TAKEN AS SPECIFIC ADVICE ON THE MERITS OF ANY INVESTMENT DECISION.  INVESTORS SHOULD MAKE THEIR OWN INVESTIGATION AND DECISIONS REGARDING THE PROSPECTS OF ANY COMPANY DISCUSSED HEREIN BASED ON SUCH INVESTORS’ OWN REVIEW OF PUBLICLY AVAILABLE INFORMATION AND SHOULD NOT RELY ON THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN.

No statement or expression of opinion, or any other matter herein, directly or indirectly, is an offer or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell the securities or financial instruments mentioned.  

Any projections, market outlooks or estimates herein are forward looking statements and are inherently unreliable.  They are based upon certain assumptions and should not be construed to be indicative of the actual events that will occur.  Other events that were not taken into account may occur and may significantly affect the returns or performance of the securities discussed herein.  The information provided herein is based on matters as they exist as of the date of preparation and not as of any future date, and the publisher undertakes no obligation to correct, update or revise the information in this document or to otherwise provide any additional material.

The publisher, its affiliates, and clients of the a publisher or its affiliates may currently have long or short positions in the securities of the companies mentioned herein, or may have such a position in the future (and therefore may profit from fluctuations in the trading price of the securities).  To the extent such persons do have such positions, there is no guarantee that such persons will maintain such positions.

Neither the publisher nor any of its affiliates accepts any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of the information contained herein.

By using the Site or any affiliated social media account, you are indicating your consent and agreement to this disclaimer and our terms of use. Unauthorized reproduction of this newsletter or its contents by photocopy, facsimile or any other means is illegal and punishable by law.

For Full Terms of Use Click HERE. For the Privacy Policy Click HERE.

Gritcapital.substack.com (“Grit”) is a website owned and operated by Substack. Grit is paid fees by the companies that make investment offerings on this website. Be aware that payment of these fees may put Grit in a conflict of interest with the investor. By accessing this website or any page thereof, you agree to be bound by the Terms of Use and Privacy Policy, in effect at the time you access this website or any page thereof. The Terms of Use and Privacy Policy may be amended from time to time. Nothing on this website shall constitute an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or subscribe for, any securities to any person in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation is against the law or to anyone to whom it is unlawful to make such offer or solicitation. Grit is not an underwriter, broker-dealer, Title III crowdfunding portal or a valuation service and does not engage in any activities requiring any such registration. Grit does not provide advice on investments or structure transactions. Offerings made under Regulation A under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”) are available to U.S. investors who are “accredited investors” as defined by Rule 501 of Regulation D under the Securities Act well as non-accredited investors, who are subject to certain investment limitations as set forth in Regulation A under the Securities Act. In order to invest in Regulation A offerings, investors may be asked to fill out a certification and provide necessary documentation as proof of your income and/or net worth to verify that you are qualified to invest in offerings posted on this website. All securities listed on this site are being offered by, and all information included on this site is the responsibility of, the applicable issuer of such securities. Grit does not verify the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information. Neither Grit nor any of its officers, directors, agents and employees makes any warranty, express or implied, of any kind whatsoever related to the adequacy, accuracy, valuations of securities or completeness of any information on this site or the use of information on this site. Neither Grit nor any of its directors, officers, employees, representatives, affiliates or agents shall have any liability whatsoever arising from any error or incompleteness of fact, or lack of care in the preparation of, any of the materials posted on this website. Investing in securities, especially those issued by start-up companies, involves substantial risk. investors should be able to bear the loss of their entire investment and should make their own determination of whether or not to make any investment based on their own independent evaluation and analysis.