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  • 👉 Energy Up +19.4% YTD

👉 Energy Up +19.4% YTD

Broadcom, CrowdStrike, Costco

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👉 Week in Review — Too Long; Didn’t Read:

Key Earnings Announcements:

  • CrowdStrike added +$1 billion in net new ARR during 2025.

  • Broadcom guided to +42% growth next quarter.

  • Costco plans to open 28 new warehouses in 2026.

Investor Events / Global Affairs:

  • The U.S.–Iran war sent oil above $90 and triggered the Dow's worst week since April.

  • Apple unleashed its biggest product week of 2026.

  • Broadcom's $100 billion AI forecast electrified the semiconductor trade.

Economic Updates:

  • The U.S. economy unexpectedly lost 92,000 jobs in February — the worst print in months.

  • ISM data showed manufacturing and services both expanding, and jobless claims held steady.

👉 Portfolio Updates

Energy has been the center of attention this week as crude oil prices spiked 36%. If you’ve been building an energy position in your own portfolio like I have in mine, you’re likely seeing this play out for yourself. My shares of USO are up 42%, VDE up 7%, XLE up 8.5%, XOM up 4.5%, and OXY up 19.5% — all in about a month.

On the flip side, the US stock market (as well as a handful of international markets) is taking a beating. It’s becoming more and more obvious that we’re entering a “capital preservation” phase — meaning the market isn’t rewarding risk anymore.

As you can see from the Sector Radar section on wallstreetfavorites.com, Energy is the best performing sector of the S&P 500 year-to-date — with names like VLO, MPC, and APA up a ton this year.

This is important to take note of, especially as we think about prior market cycles. When energy, consumer staples (consumer defensive), and healthcare are the best-performing sectors of the market, we’re nearing the end of a market cycle. See the image below.

No one can predict the future, but I would imagine the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 will continue to experience “distribution” toward their respective 200-day moving averages. International markets (barring WW3) will bode well, and we’ll continue to see a flight toward safety and mission-critical commodities (gold, copper, fertilizer, etc.).

If you felt discouraged by seeing names like Palantir, Robinhood, and many others up hundreds of percentage points in a relatively short period of time — wanting to build a position but not wanting to chase their stock prices higher — you just might be getting an opportunity to do so soon!

Microsoft is a name I’ve recently started nibbling at now that it’s closer to its 200-week moving average. I’ve already purchased hundreds of shares of Amazon at or around $200 per share, and I continue to DCA into international index funds as I believe they’ll outperform the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 in 2026 (again, barring WW3).

If you’re someone who bought into countless high-beta growth stocks that peaked in October or November, and you’re asking yourself, “Should I load the boat now that shares are down 40%?,” I always lean toward waiting and watching — dollar-cost averaging is your friend here.

With energy up so much in the last few weeks, it’ll be important to keep an eye on inflation — I don’t think people understand what’s around the corner.

👉 Best and Worst ETF Performers of the Week

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👉 Key Earnings Announcements:

CrowdStrike added +$1 billion in net new ARR during 2025, Broadcom guided to +42% growth next quarter, and Costco plans to open 28 new warehouses in 2026.

  • CrowdStrike (CRWD)

Key Metrics

Revenue: $1.3 billion, an increase of +23% YoY

Operating Loss: -$6.9 million, compared to -$79.3 million last year

Profits: $40.8 million, compared to -$86.7 million last year

Earnings Release Callout

“FY26 was CrowdStrike's best year yet, capped by a blockbuster Q4 where we set new records across the business...

We achieved $5.25 billion in ending ARR—the fastest and only pure-play cybersecurity software company to achieve this milestone—driven by a record $1.01 billion of net new ARR. The voice of the market is clear: customers are consolidating on the Falcon platform.”

My Takeaway

By crossing the $5 billion ARR milestone faster than any pure-play cybersecurity company in history, they proved that their unified platform approach is exactly what modern enterprises demand. The profitability metrics are where the story gets interesting. The company successfully swung to a positive GAAP Net Income of $38.7 million, proving that its core business is now large enough to absorb heavy stock-based compensation costs.

While they did post a minor GAAP Operating Loss of $6.9 million, this was a massive 92% improvement from the prior year. When stripping away non-cash accounting charges, the underlying business printed a record $326 million in Non-GAAP Operating Income, a best-in-class 25% margin.

The engine driving this hyper-growth is the Falcon Flex subscription model — Flex ARR grew by over +120% year-over-year to $1.69 billion. Half of all CrowdStrike customers now use at least six distinct modules. The company produced a record $376 million in Free Cash Flow for the quarter, bringing the full-year total to $1.24 billion. Management made it clear during the call that as adversaries weaponize AI to launch faster, more sophisticated attacks, legacy security tools are becoming obsolete.

Looking ahead, management is projecting nearly $6 billion in revenue (+23%) in 2026.

Long CRWD.

  • Broadcom (AVGO)

Key Metrics

Revenue: $19.3 billion, an increase of +29% YoY

Operating Income: $12.8 billion, an increase of +31% YoY

Profits: $7.4 billion, an increase of +34% YoY

Earnings Release Callout

“Broadcom achieved record first-quarter revenue on continued strength in AI semiconductor solutions. Q1 AI revenue of $8.4 billion grew 106% year-over-year, above our forecast, driven by robust demand for custom AI accelerators and AI networking. Our AI revenue growth is accelerating, and we expect AI semiconductor revenue to be $10.7 billion in Q2.”

My Takeaway

The company reported record-breaking top-line growth, heavily fueled by hyperscalers rushing to build massive, interconnected AI data centers. While the market had high expectations, Broadcom’s ability to beat consensus estimates and guide for an astonishing $22 billion in Q2 revenue proved that the capital expenditure war among Big Tech companies is actually accelerating, not plateauing.

AI revenue grew by +106% to $8.4 billion and is projected to accelerate to $10.7 billion next quarter. This growth is being driven by a dual-engine: custom AI accelerators (XPUs) for major cloud providers, which grew +140%, and the high-speed networking components required to stitch these massive compute clusters together, which grew +60%. On the software side, the infrastructure segment held steady at $6.8 billion, with the integrated VMware business continuing to provide a predictable, high-margin cash cushion.

The company produced over $8 billion in free cash flow, representing a 41% margin. The company returned $11 billion to shareholders through buybacks and dividends during the quarter. Management also authorized a $10 billion share buyback program — even while the stock sits at all-time highs.

Management highlighted that Broadcom has secured critical supply chain capacity—including advanced packaging and high-bandwidth memory—through 2028. This means while competitors are fighting for limited TSMC fabrication space, Broadcom’s massive hyperscaler customers are guaranteed delivery. Looking ahead, Broadcom is forecasting +47% growth in revenue next quarter.

Long AVGO.

  • Costco (COST)

Key Metrics

Revenue: $69.6 billion, an increase of +9% YoY

Operating Income: $2.6 billion, an increase of +10% YoY

Profits: $2.0 billion, an increase of +14% YoY

Earnings Release Callout

“We are seeing our digital enhancements dramatically improve efficiency and the overall member experience. These innovations allow us to handle increased volume without adding proportional staffing costs. As always, we are taking those operational savings and directly reinvesting them back into our employees, lowering prices on the floor, and funding our business expansion.”

My Takeaway

The company beat Wall Street’s expectations on both the top and bottom lines, driven by a surge in e-commerce adoption and a highly successful membership fee increase that resulted in almost zero customer churn.

Digitally enabled comparable sales skyrocketed 22.6%, proving that Costco's recent investments in its app and digital personalization are finally paying off. Fee income jumped 13.6% to over $1.35 billion. Most importantly, the recent price hike in the US and Canada was met with a shrug by consumers, as renewal rates remained elite at 92.1%, confirming that Costco members view the annual fee as an investment, not an expense.

Management shared several major takeaways during the earnings call — noting that every time the company finds an operational efficiency — whether through digital checkout enhancements or supply chain automation — they deliberately refuse to hoard those savings. Instead, they funnel the cash back into wage increases for employees and price cuts on merchandise, actively choosing to sacrifice short-term margin expansion for long-term customer loyalty.

Looking ahead, the company is targeting 28 net new warehouse opening in 2026.

Long COST.

👉 Investor Events / Global Affairs:

The U.S.–Iran war sent oil above $90 and triggered the Dow's worst week since April, Apple unleashed its biggest product week of 2026, and Broadcom's $100 billion AI forecast electrified the semiconductor trade.

  • Iran War Sends Oil Past $90 and Rattles Global Markets

The U.S.–Israeli military conflict with Iran dominated markets this week, sending Brent crude above $90 per barrel for the first time since 2024 — its biggest weekly gain in futures trading history. The escalation, which began last weekend with coordinated strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, intensified as Iran launched retaliatory missile barrages at Israel and Gulf nations, threatened to torch ships in the Strait of Hormuz, and forced production cuts in Kuwait and partial shutdowns across Saudi Arabia and Qatar.

The market reaction was swift and brutal. The Dow shed 3% on the week — its worst performance since April — while the S&P 500 fell 1.3% and the Nasdaq dropped 1.6% on Friday alone. The Dow slipped into negative territory for 2026, and safe-haven assets surged as investors rotated out of equities. Energy stocks were the clear outlier, with the sector benefiting from the crude spike while technology, financials, and industrials all posted steep declines.

The geopolitical risk premium is now the dominant market variable. Iran's foreign minister publicly rejected negotiations this week, telling NBC that Tehran "has not asked for a ceasefire," while President Trump hinted at potential talks but warned the conflict could last weeks. For investors, the path of energy prices and the risk of regional spillover will dictate near-term direction — and the combination of surging oil and a weakening labor market puts the Fed in an extraordinarily difficult position heading into its March 17–18 meeting.

"It's bad news whichever way you look at it. Add renewed tariff noise, higher energy prices and fresh inflationary impulses, the Fed is basically a deer in the headlights until these numbers settle into a sustainable, actionable trend."

— Olu Sonola, Head of U.S. Economics at Fitch Ratings
  • Apple Unleashes Biggest Product Week of 2026

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