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- 👉 The Investing Week Ahead: China's Market Climb
👉 The Investing Week Ahead: China's Market Climb
with big earnings from Disney + Uber...
Welcome to your new week.
Before we dive in — massive “Thank You!” to those of you that have helped get the Rich Habits Podcast Instagram page to over 15,000 followers and the Spotify page to over 4,000 reviews!
I really appreciate you being a part of this journey to share digestible personal finance and investing content to the masses!
Key Earnings Announcements:
Airbnb, Disney, Palantir, Roblox, Shopify, and Uber headline the week.
Monday (5/6): Berkshire Hathaway, Hims & Hers, Lucid, Palantir, Realty Income, Spirit, Tyson Foods
Tuesday (5/7): Arista, BP, Crocs, DataDog, Disney, Ferrari, Geo Group, Lyft, Nikola, Rivian, Toast, Twilio, Upstart, Wynn Resorts
Wednesday (5/8): AB Inbev, Airbnb, AMC, Arm, Beyond Meat, Duolingo, Robinhood, Shopify, Toyota, Uber
Thursday (5/9): Blink, Constellation Brands, Marathon Oil, Plug, Roblox, SoundHound, Unity, Warner Bros. Discovery
Friday (5/10): Digital Ocean, Enbridge, Inspired, Soho House
What We’re Watching:
Walt Disney Company (+25.9% YTD) is slated to report their quarterly earnings on Tuesday, May 7th. Disney experienced a recent proxy battle victory —but remains searching for a new CEO and hopes to avoid familiar mistakes in the replacement process.
In the streaming wars — Disney+ hopes to better leverage its library of franchises like Star Wars, Marvel, Pixar, and ESPN. Disney is implementing a substantial cost-cutting initiative, aiming to reduce its cost structure by $7.5 billion this fiscal year — nearly 10% of its average total revenue over the past three years.
Investors will often point back to Warren Buffett's 1996 remark on Disney's enduring content value: "It's kind of nice to be able to recycle Snow White every seven or eight years... If you own the mouse, you own the mouse."
It’s been a strange few years for this entertainment giant — and each earnings report continues to come with a lot of anticipation.
Uber (+12.4% YTD) is set to release earnings on Wednesday, May 8th — two days prior to its 5-Year “IPO-iversary.”
Uber continues to solidify its lead in the U.S. ride share market, with mobility gross bookings climbing to $19.3B in 4Q23 (+29% YoY) — outpacing primary competitor Lyft. Innovative service expansions such as Uber Rent and Uber Valet have been enhancing its core ride-hailing business.
Uber Eats now serves 88 million active users across 11,000 cities globally — with gross bookings for delivery reaching $17B in 4Q23.
Investments in autonomous technologies signal Uber’s commitment to reducing operational costs long-term, with partnerships in autonomous vehicles and stakes in companies like Aurora and Joby Aviation shaping future strategies.
Uber has been a major winner for the Rate of Return community over the past year (+78.3%) — and I’m interested to see if more profit-taking takes place before and after the report, especially given Tesla’s cyber-cab announcement the other week.
Investor Events / Global Affairs:
Earnings tracking, China seems to have bottomed against the S&P, and the biggest conference of the week.
Operating Earnings Growth is Tame, but Positive
According to Charlie Bilello – with 80% of companies reported, S&P 500 1st quarter operating earnings are up +5% over the past year.
This marks the 5th consecutive quarter of positive YoY growth.
“You have to substitute something else if you’re not going to get those rate cuts… And it had to be guidance because what else is there going to be?”
Eyes Remain on China
The Hang Seng index surged by more than +2% today — continuing its week-long rally and wrapping up April as the top-performing global index.
Alvin Cheung from Prudential Brokerage recently said "A relatively lower valuation has become an attractive element when the other major markets are not rallying continuously."
This shift towards Chinese equities has seen foreign investors redirecting funds to Hong Kong-listed shares amid currency pressures elsewhere. Despite optimism, analysts remain cautious on China as a whole. Some massive Chinese companies to watch as the HSI enters its bull run include Alibaba (BABA), Baidu (BIDU), and JD.com (JD).
Milken Institute Global Conference
The 2024 Milken Global Conference speakers will address issues in geopolitical tensions, artificial intelligence, and business leadership on a global scale. The lineup features prominent figures such as Bill Ackman from Pershing Square, Elon Musk of Tesla (TSLA), SEC Commissioner Mark Uyeda, NY Fed President John Williams, and Argentina President Javier Milie.
You can watch it live here through May 8th. We’ll be checking back in to see if any market-moving quotes come from the event.
Major Economic Events:
Light economic data this week – keeping an eye on Fed talks while interest rate discussions get increasingly heated.
Monday (5/6): New York Fed President Williams Speaks, Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin Speaks
Tuesday (5/7): Consumer Credit
Wednesday (5/8): Fed Gov. Cook Speaks, Wholesale Inventories
Thursday (5/9): Initial Jobless Claims
Friday (5/10): Consumer Sentiment (Prelim), Monthly U.S. Federal Budget
What We’re Watching:
The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index in the U.S. declined to 77.2 in April 2024 from a March high of 79.4 — reflecting lower assessments of both current conditions and future expectations.
"Overall, consumers continue to express uncertainty about the future trajectory of the economy pending the outcomes of the upcoming election, but at this time there is no evidence that global geopolitical factors are on the forefront of consumers' minds."
— Joanne Hsu, Director of the Surveys of Consumers
U.S. initial jobless claims remained steady at 208,000 for the week ending April 27th — marking the lowest level in two months and surpassing expectations of 212,000.
This was the fourth consecutive week of results that beat expectations — suggesting ongoing labor market tightness and potential delays in Fed rate cuts.
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice or recommendation for any investment. The content is for informational purposes only, you should not construe any such information or other material as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.
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