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Key Earnings Announcements:
American Express, IBM, Intel, RTX, ServiceNow, and Tesla highlight this week.
Monday (4/20): Alaska Air, Steel Dynamics, Wintrust Financial
Tuesday (4/21): UnitedHealth, RTX, 3M, Capital One, Danaher, DR Horton, Halliburton
Wednesday (4/22): Tesla, IBM, AT&T, Boeing, Texas Instruments, ServiceNow, Lam Research
Thursday (4/23): Intel, American Express, Freeport-McMoRan, Lockheed Martin, Dow, Baker Hughes
Friday (4/24): Procter & Gamble, Schlumberger, HCA Healthcare, Norfolk Southern, American Airlines
What We’re Watching:
ServiceNow (NOW)
ServiceNow (-35.8% YTD) heads into the print at a critical moment, with shares under pressure amid broader concerns that AI could disrupt traditional SaaS models. Despite the selloff, underlying fundamentals remain strong – ServiceNow continues to deliver ~20%+ revenue growth and expanding deal sizes, while guiding for ~$15.5B in 2026 subscription revenue.
The debate now centers on whether AI is a tailwind or a threat. On one hand, ServiceNow is positioning itself as the “control layer” for enterprise AI workflows. On the other, investor concerns around AI agents replacing traditional software workflows have driven a sharp re-rating across the stock, with shares down materially over the past year.
Management has pushed back on that narrative, emphasizing platform integration and long-term demand strength. I’ll be watching: commentary on AI monetization, renewal trends, and whether ServiceNow can maintain pricing power in a shifting enterprise software landscape.
“We significantly beat expectations and issued exceptional guidance for 2026.”
ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW) Stock Performance, 5-Year Chart, Seeking Alpha
Tesla (TSLA)
Tesla (-10.9% YTD) reports Q1 earnings this week, with investors focused on whether the company can stabilize growth and margins amid intensifying competition and ongoing price adjustments.
Tesla has faced a more challenging operating environment in recent quarters, with vehicle deliveries under pressure, pricing cuts weighing on margins, and rising competition from both legacy automakers and Chinese EV players. At the same time, the company continues to position itself as more than just an automaker, leaning into AI, autonomy, and energy as key long-term drivers.
Last quarter, Tesla delivered softer-than-expected margins as aggressive pricing strategies weighed on profitability, even as revenue remained supported by volume growth.
Heading into this release, I’ll be watching for vehicle delivery trends, gross margin progression, and any updates on Full Self-Driving (FSD), AI initiatives, and the energy business. Commentary around demand elasticity and pricing strategy will also be critical as the company navigates a more competitive EV landscape.
“We continue to focus on cost efficiency and scaling production while navigating a dynamic demand environment.”
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Stock Performance, 5-Year Chart, Seeking Alpha
Investor Events / Global Affairs:
Adobe Summit is in focus after a sharp software selloff, Google Cloud Next will spotlight AI and enterprise momentum, and U.S.–Iran talks are in focus as ceasefire risks rise.
Adobe Summit 2026
Source: WorkFlowMAX
The three-day Adobe Summit kicks off this week, with Adobe expected to unveil major product updates and outline its strategy as competition in AI-driven creative tools intensifies.
The event comes at a critical moment for the stock following a sharp selloff (-30% YTD) across software, with Adobe under particular pressure as investors reassess its positioning in a rapidly evolving AI landscape. Recent product releases from competitors – like Claude design – have raised questions about how defensible Adobe’s pricing power and ecosystem will be as generative AI lowers barriers to content creation.
Adobe, Inc. (ADBE) Stock Performance, 5-Year Chart, Seeking Alpha
I’ll be watching how Adobe is integrating AI across its platform, monetizing tools like Firefly, and reinforcing its value proposition to both enterprise and individual users.
“Adobe is extending its commitment to an open ecosystem and expanding partnerships with Amazon Web Services (AWS), Anthropic, Google Cloud, IBM, Microsoft, NVIDIA and OpenAI, with deep interoperability for agentic orchestration across Adobe and third-party platforms.”
Google Cloud Next to Spotlight AI and Enterprise Momentum
The three-day Google Cloud Next kicks off in Las Vegas this week, with Google expected to showcase its latest advancements in generative AI, cloud infrastructure, and cybersecurity.
The event will focus heavily on practical product updates and developer tools, as Google looks to strengthen its position in the enterprise AI race against competitors like Microsoft and Amazon. Investors will be watching closely for updates on AI integration across Google Cloud, new partnerships, and signs of accelerating adoption from enterprise customers.
Google, Inc. (GOOG) Stock Performance, 5-Year Chart, Seeking Alpha
“The company hasn't revealed much about the upcoming event, but they promise to "explore the AI and cloud technology... making new opportunities possible." So, you can expect a focus on how Google plans to turn once-impossible ideas into practical tools.”
U.S.–Iran Talks in Focus as Ceasefire Risks Rise
Markets will be closely watching geopolitical developments this week as Donald Trump confirmed that U.S. negotiators are set to meet in Pakistan for potential peace talks with Iran, even as tensions continue to escalate across the region.
The talks come at a fragile moment, with the current ceasefire set to expire midweek and both sides signaling a willingness to resume conflict if negotiations break down. Iranian officials have indicated that progress has been made but emphasized that a final agreement remains distant, while also warning they are prepared to reengage militarily if terms are not met.
A key sticking point remains control over the Strait of Hormuz, where Iran has threatened to again restrict shipping unless U.S. demands – including the lifting of port blockades – are addressed. At the same time, U.S. forces are reportedly preparing to intercept and seize Iran-linked oil shipments, further raising the risk of escalation.
For investors, the situation underscores a highly fluid geopolitical backdrop, where diplomacy and military posturing are unfolding simultaneously. The outcome of this week’s talks could have immediate implications for oil prices, global shipping flows, and broader market risk sentiment, particularly if the ceasefire collapses or tensions expand further.
This is long but worth the read! —
“If there are questions over whether this weeks peace talks will go ahead, Pakistan may well have the answer. The government, which is mediating the negotiations, has already imposed a strict security bubble ready for the arrival of Vice President JD Vance and the Iranian delegation. Whole highways are closed, with police telling NBC News they began stopping traffic at midnight. Hotels have been emptied out in preparation for the sensitive meetings.
The reality is that even the furious Iranian insistence that it hasn’t decided whether to come is part of the negotiations, trying to put the American side on the back foot. Further complicating the picture, different Iranian leaders are sending contradictory messages. The IRGC vowed revenge for the seizing of an Iranian cargo ship yesterday, even as Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian continued to emphasize diplomacy. All of this makes it very hard for the two sides to reach a deal within days. The Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan told me over the weekend that the ceasefire deadline will have to be extended.”
Major Economic Events:
A look into consumer sentiment and retail sales.
Monday (4/20): N/A
Tuesday (4/21): Business inventories, Pending home sales, Retail sales, Retail sales ex-autos
Wednesday (4/22): N/A
Thursday (4/23): Initial jobless claims, S&P flash manufacturing PMI, S&P flash services PMI
Friday (4/24): Consumer sentiment (final)
What We’re Watching:
Michigan Consumer Sentiment
The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index plunged to 47.6 in early April, marking an 11% drop from March and one of the weakest readings on record, as geopolitical tensions and rising costs weighed heavily on consumer confidence.
The decline was broad-based across all demographics and survey components, with expectations for business conditions falling 20% and personal financial outlooks dropping 11%. Consumers pointed to higher prices and declining asset values as key concerns, while buying conditions for big-ticket items like vehicles and durable goods deteriorated further.
Inflation expectations also moved sharply higher. Year-ahead expectations jumped to 4.8% from 3.8%, the largest monthly increase in nearly a year, while long-term expectations rose to 3.4%.
Economists expect the following this week:
Consumer Sentiment: 47.6 vs. 53.5 prior
1-Year Inflation Expectations: 4.8% vs. 3.8% prior
5-Year Inflation Expectations: 3.4% vs. 3.2% prior
“Consumers are increasingly concerned about both rising prices and the broader economic outlook, particularly amid geopolitical uncertainty.”
Retail Sales
U.S. retail sales rose 0.6% MoM in February, rebounding from a 0.1% decline in January and coming in above expectations of 0.5%, marking the strongest monthly gain in seven months.
The strength was broad-based, with notable increases across discretionary categories including department stores (+3%), health and personal care (+2.3%), and clothing (+2%), alongside solid gains in autos and general merchandise. Online sales and gasoline spending also moved higher, pointing to steady demand across both goods and services.
While some softness remained in food and beverage and furniture sales (-1% each), the overall trend suggests consumers are continuing to spend despite mixed sentiment data and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. Importantly, core retail sales – which feed directly into GDP – rose 0.5%, exceeding expectations and signaling solid underlying consumption.
Economists expect the following this week:
Retail Sales (MoM): +0.6% vs. -0.1% prior
Core Retail Sales: +0.5% vs. +0.3% expected
“Retail sales grew…in March as the first wave of tax refunds offset higher gas prices resulting from the conflict in the Middle East. Despite record-low consumer sentiment and the highest inflation rate in two years, consumers continued to spend on household priorities.”
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