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đ All Eye on CES 2025
Constellation Brands, Delta, Jefferies
Welcome to your new week.
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Key Earnings Announcements:
Albertsons, Constellation Brands, Delta & Jefferies highlight the primary earnings reports this week.
Monday (1/6): Commercial Metals
Tuesday (1/7): AAR, RPM
Wednesday (1/8): Albertsons Companies, Jefferies
Thursday (1/9): Markets Closed to Honor Former President Jimmy Carter
Friday (1/10): Delta Air Lines, Constellation Brands, Tilray, Walgreens Boots Alliance
What Weâre Watching:
Delta Air Lines (DAL)
Delta Air Lines (+42% YoY) appears undervalued compared to peers, despite consistently outperforming United Airlines in revenue and demonstrating a strong post-pandemic recovery. While Unitedâs revenue growth has been higher year-over-year, Deltaâs profitability and operational efficiency stand out.
Challenges like rising fuel costs and a cybersecurity issues havenât derailed performance, and Deltaâs focus on modernizing its fleet and expanding premium services positions it for further growth. Financial strength is clear with a 40.7% Return on Equity, $15.68 billion in quarterly revenue, and a healthy balance sheet.
If youâve read my work over the years, you know that I generally donât have much interest in investing into airlines. However, Delta is up +42% over the past year and United is up +123% over the next year. Iâm being forced to start paying closer attention to this sector, and Iâm excited to report back on their earnings this week!
Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL) Stock Performance, 5-Year Chart, Seeking Alpha
Investor Events / Global Affairs:
Consumer Electronics Show (CES), McValue Menu, Detroit Auto Show, and the TikTok Ban HearingâŠ
Consumer Electronics Show
The Consumer Electronics Show (CES) returns to Las Vegas from January 7â10, showcasing cutting-edge technology and bold breakthroughs. Global brands will debut their latest innovations, while industry leaders take the stage to discuss future trends.
Make no mistake, this is one of the biggest and most anticipated conferences of the entire year.
Notable keynote speakers include Delta Air Lines CEO Ed Bastian, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, Sirius XM CEO Jennifer Witz, X CEO Linda Yaccarino, Waymo Co-CEO Tekedra Mawakana, Accenture CEO Julie Sweet, and AMD CEO Lisa Su â highlighting the eventâs influence across sectors.
Companies looking to make waves at CES include:
LG with new TV models
Qualcomm unveiling next-gen car technology
Gentex with connected car products
Himax Technologies showcasing eye-tracking tech
Abbott Labs introducing biowearables
SES AI revealing AI-powered robotics and drone cells.
In the auto sector, Toyota, Honda, and Faraday Future Intelligent are set to display prototype vehicles. Analysts are closely watching these companies for potential stock volatility tied to its announcements at the event.
âAI was everywhere at CES 2024, and while there were some cool examples of the fast-moving technology, there was also a lot of empty hype. At CES 2025, we'll be looking for clear evidence that AI is making a difference to any products it's embedded in and isn't just lending itself to a label on a box or another bullet point on a spec sheet.
At this year's show, we expect to hear plenty about "agentic AI," which will put smart assistants at the forefront of device interfaces. It's an idea that's been heavily hinted at by tech companies, and it's even the subject of experiments, in ways that suggest it could eventually kill off apps. It has yet to be executed in a way that makes us convinced it'll be the future.â
McDonaldâs Unveils McValue Platform
McDonaldâs is rolling out its McValue platform nationwide, targeting budget-conscious diners. Key features include a $5 Meal Deal, exclusive in-app offers, local discounts, and a "Buy One, Add One for $1" deal covering breakfast, lunch, and dinner.
Expect this strategy to drive traffic and boost sales amid rising consumer focus on affordability.
McDonaldâs Corp. (MCD) Stock Performance, 5-Year Chart, Seeking Alpha
McDonaldâs is up just +0.8% over the past year, and investors are hoping that the McValue Menu can act as a catalyst.
Learn more about it here: McDonaldâs Launching McValue Platform in US Restaurants in 2025
Media Day at Detroit Auto Show
The Detroit Auto Show runs Jan 10â20, with Media Day set for Friday, Jan 10. Industry giants like GM, Ford, Stellantis, Toyota, and Volkswagen are expected to share key updates.
Rivian will debut its R2 and R3X models, drawing attention to the EV market. Watch for announcements that could shape the auto sectorâs outlook heading into 2025.
View more key information here: Detroit Auto Show
Supreme Court to Hear TikTok Case
Source: Sheldon Cooper/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
The Supreme Court will hear arguments on the TikTok ban ahead of its scheduled enforcement on January 19 â just one day before President Trump is set to take office. Trump has urged the court to pause the ban, citing concerns over its impact.
Investor Jeffrey Yass, whose fund holds a 15% stake in TikTokâs parent company, made $96 million in donations to Republicans this election cycle â adding another layer of political intrigue to the case.
The outcome could set a major precedent for tech regulation and foreign-owned apps in the U.S.
âTrump, who on the campaign trail suggested in a social media post that he would âsave TikTok,â is asking the court to suspend the divestment deadline and consider his preference for a ânegotiated resolution" â given that as president, he will be responsible for national security.
Late on Friday, the Department of Justice asked the Supreme Court to reject Trump's request, saying no one was disputing that China âseeks to undermine U.S. interests by amassing sensitive data about Americans and engaging in covert and malign influence operations.ââ
Major Economic Events:
FOMC Minutes released & Michigan Consumer Sentiment take center stage in first full week of 2025.
Monday (1/6): Factory Orders, S&P Final U.S. Services PMI
Tuesday (1/7): ISM Services, Job Openings, Richmond Fed President Barkin Speaks, U.S. Trade Deficit
Wednesday (1/8): ADP Employment, Consumer Credit, Minutes of Fedâs December FOMC Meeting
Thursday (1/9): Initial Jobless Claims, Wholesale Inventories
Friday (1/10): Consumer Sentiment, U.S. Employment, U.S. Hourly Wages, U.S. Unemployment
What Weâre Watching:
FOMC Minutes
The Federal Reserve lowered the federal funds rate by 25bps in December, the third consecutive cut this year, bringing rates to 4.25%â4.5%, as expected.
Looking ahead, the dot plot now signals two rate cuts in 2025 â totaling 50bps â down from the 100bps projected last quarter. This reflects a much more cautious outlook on monetary easing due to a strong labor market and stickier-than-expected inflation.
View more here: Summary of Economic Projections, December 18, 2024
Michigan Consumer Sentiment
The University of Michiganâs consumer sentiment index rose to 74 in December, up from 71.8 in November â the highest level since April.
Expectations climbed to 73.3 from an initial 71.6, while current conditions dipped to 75.1 from 77.7. Inflation expectations eased slightly, falling to 2.8% for the year-ahead and 3.0% over five years.
"Buying conditions exhibited a particularly strong 32% improvement, primarily due to a surge in consumers expecting future price increases for large purchases. Broadly speaking, consumers believe that the economy has improved considerably as inflation has slowed, but they do not feel that they are thriving.â
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